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Calm or wild
66 coins · 14 wild, 51 normal, 1 calm · Binance mark price, hourly · updated 22:00 UTC, 30 Oct
Each coin against its own last 90 days
realised volatility percentile: calm 20 or under, normal in between, wild 80 or over
| coin | reading | percentile | volatility, hourly | yearly equivalent | last 90 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEPE | PEPE: wild · volatility 99th percentile of the last 90 days | 99 | 1.81% | 169% | |
| TRX | TRX: wild · volatility 99th percentile of the last 90 days | 99 | 0.98% | 92% | |
| BNB | BNB: wild · volatility 98th percentile of the last 90 days | 98 | 0.72% | 68% | |
| LIT | LIT: wild · volatility 95th percentile of the last 90 days | 95 | 1.70% | 159% | |
| HYPE | HYPE: wild · volatility 91st percentile of the last 90 days | 91 | 1.16% | 109% | |
| DOT | DOT: wild · volatility 88th percentile of the last 90 days | 88 | 1.12% | 105% | |
| RSR | RSR: wild · volatility 87th percentile of the last 90 days | 87 | 1.60% | 150% | |
| BTC | BTC: wild · volatility 86th percentile of the last 90 days | 86 | 0.44% | 41% | |
| SOL | SOL: wild · volatility 85th percentile of the last 90 days | 85 | 0.68% | 64% | |
| LINK | LINK: wild · volatility 85th percentile of the last 90 days | 85 | 0.91% | 85% | |
| ETH | ETH: wild · volatility 83rd percentile of the last 90 days | 83 | 0.57% | 54% | |
| LTC | LTC: wild · volatility 83rd percentile of the last 90 days | 83 | 0.82% | 76% | |
| AAVE | AAVE: wild · volatility 83rd percentile of the last 90 days | 83 | 1.02% | 95% | |
| BCH | BCH: wild · volatility 82nd percentile of the last 90 days | 82 | 0.98% | 91% | |
| ENA | ENA: normal · volatility 79th percentile of the last 90 days | 79 | 1.71% | 160% | |
| XAG | XAG: normal · volatility 79th percentile of the last 90 days | 79 | 0.44% | 41% | |
| ZRO | ZRO: normal · volatility 77th percentile of the last 90 days | 77 | 1.73% | 162% | |
| CC | CC: normal · volatility 76th percentile of the last 90 days | 76 | 1.08% | 101% | |
| TIA | TIA: normal · volatility 73rd percentile of the last 90 days | 73 | 1.33% | 125% | |
| AVAX | AVAX: normal · volatility 72nd percentile of the last 90 days | 72 | 0.89% | 83% | |
| PENGU | PENGU: normal · volatility 72nd percentile of the last 90 days | 72 | 1.21% | 114% | |
| XAUT | XAUT: normal · volatility 72nd percentile of the last 90 days | 72 | 0.23% | 21% | |
| WLD | WLD: normal · volatility 71st percentile of the last 90 days | 71 | 1.33% | 125% | |
| APT | APT: normal · volatility 70th percentile of the last 90 days | 70 | 1.18% | 111% | |
| RENDER | RENDER: normal · volatility 70th percentile of the last 90 days | 70 | 1.05% | 98% | |
| INJ | INJ: normal · volatility 69th percentile of the last 90 days | 69 | 1.23% | 116% | |
| MORPHO | MORPHO: normal · volatility 68th percentile of the last 90 days | 68 | 1.11% | 104% | |
| SHIB | SHIB: normal · volatility 68th percentile of the last 90 days | 68 | 0.79% | 74% | |
| ONDO | ONDO: normal · volatility 68th percentile of the last 90 days | 68 | 1.06% | 99% | |
| W | W: normal · volatility 67th percentile of the last 90 days | 67 | 1.24% | 116% | |
| HBAR | HBAR: normal · volatility 66th percentile of the last 90 days | 66 | 0.83% | 78% | |
| FIL | FIL: normal · volatility 64th percentile of the last 90 days | 64 | 1.16% | 108% | |
| MAGIC | MAGIC: normal · volatility 64th percentile of the last 90 days | 64 | 1.07% | 100% | |
| SKY | SKY: normal · volatility 63rd percentile of the last 90 days | 63 | 0.85% | 79% | |
| S | S: normal · volatility 61st percentile of the last 90 days | 61 | 1.23% | 115% | |
| VVV | VVV: normal · volatility 61st percentile of the last 90 days | 61 | 1.35% | 126% | |
| XLM | XLM: normal · volatility 61st percentile of the last 90 days | 61 | 0.77% | 72% | |
| ARB | ARB: normal · volatility 61st percentile of the last 90 days | 61 | 1.28% | 120% | |
| AERO | AERO: normal · volatility 61st percentile of the last 90 days | 61 | 1.13% | 106% | |
| WIF | WIF: normal · volatility 60th percentile of the last 90 days | 60 | 1.03% | 97% | |
| GRASS | GRASS: normal · volatility 59th percentile of the last 90 days | 59 | 1.54% | 144% | |
| FARTCOIN | FARTCOIN: normal · volatility 59th percentile of the last 90 days | 59 | 1.25% | 117% | |
| USELESS | USELESS: normal · volatility 59th percentile of the last 90 days | 59 | 2.08% | 195% | |
| DOGE | DOGE: normal · volatility 59th percentile of the last 90 days | 59 | 0.71% | 66% | |
| STRK | STRK: normal · volatility 58th percentile of the last 90 days | 58 | 1.46% | 136% | |
| ICP | ICP: normal · volatility 58th percentile of the last 90 days | 58 | 0.96% | 90% | |
| ZEC | ZEC: normal · volatility 58th percentile of the last 90 days | 58 | 1.18% | 111% | |
| UNI | UNI: normal · volatility 55th percentile of the last 90 days | 55 | 1.14% | 106% | |
| ETC | ETC: normal · volatility 55th percentile of the last 90 days | 55 | 0.74% | 69% | |
| ALGO | ALGO: normal · volatility 54th percentile of the last 90 days | 54 | 0.92% | 86% | |
| SUI | SUI: normal · volatility 54th percentile of the last 90 days | 54 | 0.93% | 87% | |
| STX | STX: normal · volatility 54th percentile of the last 90 days | 54 | 1.19% | 112% | |
| GRAM | GRAM: normal · volatility 54th percentile of the last 90 days | 54 | 0.66% | 62% | |
| TAO | TAO: normal · volatility 53rd percentile of the last 90 days | 53 | 0.92% | 86% | |
| ATOM | ATOM: normal · volatility 53rd percentile of the last 90 days | 53 | 0.86% | 81% | |
| XRP | XRP: normal · volatility 53rd percentile of the last 90 days | 53 | 0.64% | 60% | |
| TRUMP | TRUMP: normal · volatility 51st percentile of the last 90 days | 51 | 0.99% | 92% | |
| CL | CL: normal · volatility 51st percentile of the last 90 days | 51 | 0.46% | 43% | |
| POL | POL: normal · volatility 50th percentile of the last 90 days | 50 | 0.85% | 80% | |
| ADA | ADA: normal · volatility 50th percentile of the last 90 days | 50 | 0.86% | 81% | |
| NEAR | NEAR: normal · volatility 47th percentile of the last 90 days | 47 | 1.26% | 118% | |
| ASTER | ASTER: normal · volatility 43rd percentile of the last 90 days | 43 | 0.60% | 56% | |
| BOME | BOME: normal · volatility 43rd percentile of the last 90 days | 43 | 1.31% | 123% | |
| BZ | BZ: normal · volatility 41st percentile of the last 90 days | 41 | 0.42% | 40% | |
| JUP | JUP: normal · volatility 39th percentile of the last 90 days | 39 | 1.05% | 98% | |
| WLFI | WLFI: calm · volatility 16th percentile of the last 90 days | 16 | 0.46% | 43% |
Not enough history yet (90 days of hours, ranked against 90 more): AAPL, AMZN, COIN, CRCL, GOOGL, HOOD, IWM, META, MSFT, MSTR, NVDA, PAXG, QQQ, SPY, TSLA, XAU.
What it shows: How much each coin's price has been moving lately, ranked against its own last 90 days, the wildest first. Volatility here is the typical size of an hour's move: an average of the squared hourly moves in which each new hour counts 1% and the older ones fade (an EWMA, with lambda 0.99). Its percentile is the share of the coin's last 2,160 hourly readings at or below it. The yearly equivalent is the hourly figure times the square root of the hours in a year.
How to read it: Wild, 80 or over: the coin is moving at least as much as it did in four hours out of five over the last 90 days. Calm, 20 or under: no more than in one hour out of five. Each coin is ranked against itself, so a calm meme coin can still move more than a wild Bitcoin; compare the hourly figures for that. The line shows the percentile over the last 90 days, with dashes at 20 and 80. Calm and wild describe how much price has been moving, not which way, and not what comes next. Our study "The touch map in calm and wild markets: does a table for each help?" found they did not make the touch map's odds reliably better.
Prices: Binance mark price, hourly (the mark at each hour's end); updated 22:00 UTC, 30 Oct.
Credits
- EWMA volatility: J.P. Morgan/Reuters, RiskMetrics Technical Document, 1996.
- Ranking today's volatility against its own past is common practice (the options world's "IV rank" does the same with implied volatility). No single originator is known.
- Regime-switching, the industry's name for markets that move between states like these: James D. Hamilton, "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle", Econometrica, 1989.
Historical data: Binance Vision (data.binance.vision), used under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0); what is drawn from it here is shared under the same licence.
Educational research from public market data; any trading discussed is paper, never real. Nothing here is advice. The full notice.